COVID numbers have stopped falling

May 12, 2022

This article has not been updated recently

According to the ZOE COVID Study incidence figures, in total there are currently 116,609 new daily symptomatic cases of COVID in the UK on average. A continued decrease of 6% from 124,420 reported last week (Graph 1).

The UK R-value is estimated to be around 0.9 and regional R values are; England, 0.0, Wales, 0.9, and Scotland, 1.0. 

slowdownOn average 1 in 35 people in the UK currently have symptomatic COVID.

Professor Tim Spector, Scientific Co-Founder of ZOE comments on the latest COVID data

“After a number of weeks with cases steadily falling, we are now seeing a real slow down in the cases and we predict cases will stall around 100,000 new cases a day for a while. Scotland is the first region where cases appear to be trending upward again and the same is true for those aged 0-17 years old. It is too early at this stage to know what is causing the slow down but it’s a strong signal that COVID is not going to disappear this summer.” 

Graph 1. The ZOE COVID Study UK incidence figures total number of daily new cases over time.

Graph 2. Incidence by age group 

Graph 3. Incidence rate in England, Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland

Map of the UK - COVID prevalence

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